Yes we can
Nov. 4th, 2008 10:32 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
davidnThe crowd in Phoenix are looking very damp and glum just now.
Anyway, it's quietened down quite a lot since the initial rush, hasn't it? At first I was hugely worried because a couple of very red or leaning-red-but-might-turn states went first and gave me a heart attack thinking that everything was turning to the Republicans. But then an avalanche started, and a blue flood that I initially thought was overoptimistic seems to have held. I have about twelve different poll sites open, my processor may actually be melting, and I'm having difficult putting words and letters in the right order - but on the whole I now feel safe in calming down.
Perhaps a slight surprise is that while North Carolina has been getting gradually closer (it was about 3000 last time I checked), Virginia, which I had thought was a lost cause very early on, is now about 50,000 ahead for Obama. And that, unlike all other results so far, is with 90% reporting. At the moment, if all predictions are correct, Obama wins by 14 electoral votes - but I wouldn't say no to an extra state, even if the one of those two that looks likely is now 13 instead of 15.
CNN have nothing to report now, so they're arguing about whether they're a centrist or leftist country and asking whether they've moved. The result is comfortable enough that the preferred coverage of the election in the flat has switched to the the smuggest man in the world and the second-smuggest man in the world, even if CNN have holographic buildings springing out of their table.
I've switched one of my obvious predicted states from Colorado to Hawaii. It feels a bit safer.
States so far: 35/50 (39/50 with predictions)
Electoral votes decided so far: 342/538 (469 with predictions)
Democrats: 207 (+HI +CA +OR +WA = 284)
Republicans: 135
Anyway, it's quietened down quite a lot since the initial rush, hasn't it? At first I was hugely worried because a couple of very red or leaning-red-but-might-turn states went first and gave me a heart attack thinking that everything was turning to the Republicans. But then an avalanche started, and a blue flood that I initially thought was overoptimistic seems to have held. I have about twelve different poll sites open, my processor may actually be melting, and I'm having difficult putting words and letters in the right order - but on the whole I now feel safe in calming down.
Perhaps a slight surprise is that while North Carolina has been getting gradually closer (it was about 3000 last time I checked), Virginia, which I had thought was a lost cause very early on, is now about 50,000 ahead for Obama. And that, unlike all other results so far, is with 90% reporting. At the moment, if all predictions are correct, Obama wins by 14 electoral votes - but I wouldn't say no to an extra state, even if the one of those two that looks likely is now 13 instead of 15.
CNN have nothing to report now, so they're arguing about whether they're a centrist or leftist country and asking whether they've moved. The result is comfortable enough that the preferred coverage of the election in the flat has switched to the the smuggest man in the world and the second-smuggest man in the world, even if CNN have holographic buildings springing out of their table.
I've switched one of my obvious predicted states from Colorado to Hawaii. It feels a bit safer.
States so far: 35/50 (39/50 with predictions)
Electoral votes decided so far: 342/538 (469 with predictions)
Democrats: 207 (+HI +CA +OR +WA = 284)
Republicans: 135
