Red Vs. Blue
Oct. 2nd, 2008 08:26 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png)
Can we move the election forward a month and get it over with?
As I knew I was in danger of a couple of months ago, I've been completely caught up following this election. Well, "completely" is stretching the term a bit, because all I really do is examine that map and a couple of others daily and watch The Daily Show with Jon Smugtwit when Whitney's recorded it, but she mentioned to me herself the other day that because of this I probably now know more about the movement of the states than she does. And I have never been that kind of person - when we met in Worcester and I looked up the map on my laptop,
livatlantis said that he didn't know I was 'political', but I didn't think of myself as such - I'm not political, I just want Obama to win, as do the rest of the world.
And honestly, things are looking pretty good for that at the moment. My knowledge of how things usually go is limited, but I do know that in general, the middle and South (with the odd exception of New Mexico) are very red, the West and Northeast are very blue, and the states with funny shapes on the border between the blue and red patches are the ones that cause the problems by being undecided. But compare that to the map's situation today - those swing states may be swinging back and forward, and Colorado and Nevada are happily falling under the influence of California and New Mexico, but the states that are meant to be red are the real surprise. Florida is heading towards being liberal. North Carolina is tied, and it's really, really not meant to be. Georgia and Mississisisisissisissippi are weaker than they have been all year... even Texas has become a weak republican area. I feel this is a pretty strong indicator that things are going very wrong for that side of the campaign at the moment.
Provided this isn't just a one-off absolute miracle that will revert tomorrow (back to a slightly weaker lead, still), all the democrats really have to do is hang on to the lead for a month and not do anything totally stupid. Tonight's debate is the moment a lot of people have been waiting for, with the promise of Piano-mouth having to stand up and speak to people instead of the republicans trying to smuggle her through the campaign with a bag on her head (with lipstick). I can't imagine that Biden will manage to do anything to make the democrats look worse than her unless he accidentally reveals that he's actually Darth Vader and goes around nicking sweets from orphans.
As I knew I was in danger of a couple of months ago, I've been completely caught up following this election. Well, "completely" is stretching the term a bit, because all I really do is examine that map and a couple of others daily and watch The Daily Show with Jon Smugtwit when Whitney's recorded it, but she mentioned to me herself the other day that because of this I probably now know more about the movement of the states than she does. And I have never been that kind of person - when we met in Worcester and I looked up the map on my laptop,
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And honestly, things are looking pretty good for that at the moment. My knowledge of how things usually go is limited, but I do know that in general, the middle and South (with the odd exception of New Mexico) are very red, the West and Northeast are very blue, and the states with funny shapes on the border between the blue and red patches are the ones that cause the problems by being undecided. But compare that to the map's situation today - those swing states may be swinging back and forward, and Colorado and Nevada are happily falling under the influence of California and New Mexico, but the states that are meant to be red are the real surprise. Florida is heading towards being liberal. North Carolina is tied, and it's really, really not meant to be. Georgia and Mississisisisissisissippi are weaker than they have been all year... even Texas has become a weak republican area. I feel this is a pretty strong indicator that things are going very wrong for that side of the campaign at the moment.
Provided this isn't just a one-off absolute miracle that will revert tomorrow (back to a slightly weaker lead, still), all the democrats really have to do is hang on to the lead for a month and not do anything totally stupid. Tonight's debate is the moment a lot of people have been waiting for, with the promise of Piano-mouth having to stand up and speak to people instead of the republicans trying to smuggle her through the campaign with a bag on her head (with lipstick). I can't imagine that Biden will manage to do anything to make the democrats look worse than her unless he accidentally reveals that he's actually Darth Vader and goes around nicking sweets from orphans.
no subject
Date: 2008-10-02 04:09 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-10-02 09:48 pm (UTC)